Abstract:Objective To develop a composite hypoxic score based on lowest oxygen saturation (SpO?) and longest apnea duration, and to systematically evaluate its predictive performance for severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), as well as to explore its variations across sex, BMI, and age subgroups. Methods This was a retrospective cross-sectional study of 1,943 adult patients (≥18 years) who underwent portable sleep monitoring. Spearman''s rank correlation analysis was used to assess the correlations between each hypoxic indicator and the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to evaluate the predictive performance for severe OSA (AHI ≥ 30 events/h). Subgroup analyses were performed stratified by sex, BMI, and age. Results AHI showed a strong negative correlation with lowest SpO? (r = ?0.786, P < 0.001) and a strong positive correlation with longest apnea duration (r = 0.755, P < 0.001). The composite hypoxic score achieved an AUC of 0.904 (95% CI: 0.891–0.918), numerically higher than lowest SpO? (AUC = 0.897, 95% CI: 0.883–0.911) and the longest apnea duration (AUC = 0.870, 95% CI: 0.854–0.885). Subgroup analyses revealed that, in sex stratification, the AUC of the composite hypoxic score for predicting severe OSA was 0.942 in females and 0.893 in males; that of lowest SpO? was 0.917 in females and 0.889 in males, while that of longest apnea duration was 0.916 in females and 0.855 in males. In BMI stratification, the composite hypoxic score showed the highest predictive performance in the normal-weight group (AUC = 0.918, 95% CI: 0.888–0.949), followed by the obese group (AUC = 0.914, 95% CI: 0.892–0.935) and the overweight group (AUC = 0.887, 95% CI: 0.864–0.909). In age stratification, the AUC of the composite hypoxic score was 0.909 (95% CI: 0.896–0.922) in the adult group and decreased to 0.819 (95% CI: 0.746–0.892) in the elderly group. Conclusion The composite hypoxic score, integrating hypoxic depth and duration, demonstrates predictive performance for severe OSA slightly superior to single indicators (AUC = 0.904). Within BMI stratification, its discriminative value was highest in the normal-weight (non-obese) group (AUC = 0.918), a subgroup most prone to under-detection by conventional screening, suggesting the score serves as a simple, effective bedside tool for lean OSA screening.